On days when news flow moves the market in an abrupt and sudden way—and when it’s normal to see gold down -4.03% while UK Brent oil rises +7.80% (as happened this morning), following market reactions to a speech, a statement, or a newswire release—today we want to briefly show what we mean when we talk […]
Markets, US100 Rally on Unconfirmed News
At 17:35 GMT yesterday, major international news agencies circulated a report stating that Iranian President Pezeshkian had told Islamic Republic News Agency: “We’re ready to end war, but want guarantees.” This headline triggered a sharp rally in equities, while both oil and the U.S. dollar declined significantly within minutes. However, a key issue has emerged: […]
OECD UK Downgrade: FTSE & GBPUSD Outlook
The OECD’s latest economic outlook, published on March 26, delivered a stark verdict on the UK who received the biggest downgrade to its 2026 growth forecast among all major OECD member countries, with GDP growth now projected at just 0.7% for the year, down 0.5% from a previous estimate of 1.2%. The downgrade reflects the […]
US30 Rebounds at Key Support
Two of the three major U.S. equity indices have now entered correction territory—defined as a drawdown of 10% from their recent highs. Only the S&P 500 remains just above that threshold, currently at -9.05%, while both the Nasdaq and the Dow Jones Industrial Average have breached it. For completeness, the Russell 2000 could arguably be […]
Cocoa: From Euphoria to Structural Correction
What unfolded in the cocoa market between early 2024 and December of that year was, by any measure, one of the most extraordinary commodity rallies in modern market history—and one that retail traders would do well to study as a textbook case of supply-shock-driven parabolic pricing. The December 2024 record high of $12,931 per ton […]
Microsoft (MSFT) Under Sustained Pressure
Microsoft shares have shed roughly 30% from their all-time highs, reached intraday on October 28 last year at $551.43, making MSFT the worst-performing name among the Magnificent Seven over the past six months—with the stock now off to its worst start to a year since 2008. The sell-off is not a reflection of deteriorating fundamentals […]
Gold and Silver Volatile Again
At one point during yesterday’s highly volatile session, gold and silver were down by 8.45% and 9.84%, respectively, compared to the previous day’s settlement. All of this occurred while the USD was strengthening, and its most traded index—the DXY—was approaching 100, driven by another sharp rise in yields across the entire U.S. curve. The 10-year […]
USDCHF: Swiss SNB Shifts Focus to FX Intervention
At its March 19, 2026 monetary policy meeting, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) left the official rate unchanged at 0.00%, maintaining its ultra-low-rate stance amid subdued inflation and a still-elevated Swiss franc. The Bank reiterated that sight deposits at the SNB would continue to be remunerated at the policy rate up to a certain threshold, […]
Global Indices at a Crossroads
After three full weeks of military tensions, equity markets have finally pulled back with some consistency, and among the indices, some have even entered what is considered correction territory—a decline of more than 10% from their highs. Today, we’ll take a brief overview of them, trying to understand whether it’s time for a pause in […]
EURJPY Falls After the BOJ
The Bank of Japan on Thursday kept its rates steady at 0.75%, as expected, but noted that inflation risks are now tilted to the upside due to the Iran war. The decision was split, with eight of the nine members voting in favour of a hold and only Hajime Takata proposing a rate hike to […]
